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MTBF calculator

Series-system failure rate from up to eight lines of quantity and rate, converted to MTBF, FIT, annualized failure rate and the probability of surviving a mission.

h
Powered hours. 43,800 h is 5 years at 8760 h per year.
Placeholder rates. Use your vendors' reliability reports or your handbook.
MTBF
4,167,000 h
476 years at 8760 h per year
MTBF, hours
4,167,000 h
Total failure rate
240 FIT
Total failure rate, per 10⁶ hours
0.24
Probability of no failure over 43800 h
98.95 %
Probability of at least one failure
1.046 %
Annualized failure rate (8760 h)
0.21 %
Contribution by line
LineQuantityRate eachLine FITShare
Line 11100 FIT10041.7 %
Line 2425 FIT10041.7 %
Line 3202 FIT4016.7 %
Probability of survival
9898.59999.51000246810Operating time (years at 8760 h)Survival (%)
Method

How this is calculated

λ_total = Σ N_i · λ_i
MTBF = 1 / λ_total = 10⁹ / FIT   hours
R(t) = exp( −λ_total · t )
AFR = 1 − exp( −λ_total · 8760 h )
1 FIT = 1 failure per 10⁹ h = 0.001 per 10⁶ h
Assumes
A constant failure rate (the flat part of the bathtub curve) and a series system: any one part failing fails the product. Infant mortality and wear-out are not modeled.
Rates
You supply them. No handbook rates are built in. Vendor reliability reports give FIT at a stated temperature and confidence level; MIL-HDBK-217F gives generic rates per 10⁶ h with quality factors.
AFR
Probability of a failure within 8760 powered hours. For a product powered part of the time, scale the mission time, not the rate.
FAQ

Questions

MTBF in hours is 10⁹ divided by FIT. TI SNAA391 works 1.5 FIT to 6.7 × 10⁸ hours. FIT per 10⁶ hours is FIT divided by 1000.

No. It means a failure rate of 1000 FIT. Over one year of continuous use, about 0.87 % of units fail; over 5 years, about 4.3 %. It says nothing about wear-out life.

MIL-HDBK-217F Appendix A sums quantity times failure rate over each part type for an early estimate, before stresses are known. The part stress method in its main sections refines it with temperature, voltage and environment.

exp(−λt). At 240 FIT, the default here, the chance of no failure over 43,800 powered hours (5 years) is about 99.0 %.

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